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Mittelmeer mit Unwetterprognose für Do/Fr 07 Sep 2015 21:26 #170932

  • Markus Brotschi
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Jetzt tritt genau das ein, was Tobias schon erwähnt hat: Ein Unwetterträchtig warmes Mittelmeer. Schon vor Kurzem wurde Neapel "zugehagelt", nun scheints etwas südlicher noch krasser zu werden. Lokal werden 300mm Niederschlag erwartet! Unglaublich.


A very interesting, but potentially dangerous setup is shaping up for Thu-Fri this week across southern Italy and surrounding areas. As a response to a weak upper low crossing the southern Mediterranean, a surface low develops near Sicily and moves towards the southern Adriatic sea. Some high resolution models hint it could develop a warm core structure, but yet to be confirmed through the next model runs. In any case, the system could bring severe storms and damaging flash floods in these areas. Locally a few hundred mm of rainfall could cause damaging landslides and life treatening situations! Stay tuned for more updates!

Source: lamma WRF






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Last edit: by Markus Brotschi.

Mittelmeer mit Unwetterprognose für Do/Fr 08 Sep 2015 09:10 #170933

  • Kerstin
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www.wetteronline.de/fotostrecken/2015-09-07-af?part=single
Dann wird es wohl nicht mehr lange dauern, bis wir auch aus den europäischen Mittelmeerländern Flüchtlinge aufnehmen müssen!

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Nun schauts sogar nach "Medicaine" aus! 08 Sep 2015 09:42 #170934

  • Markus Brotschi
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Nun schaut es - nach den neuesten Modellläufen - sogar nach einem Mittelmeer-Hurricane aus! (Medicaine)

Here is a detailed closer look into the upcoming possible warm core system / medicane ("Mediterranean hurricane") predicted by various models on Thursday. It appears likely that a cyclone will form near Sicily and shift across S Italy into the S Adriatic sea. However, given the complex weather pattern and dynamics a precise forecast cannot be given where and how intense the cyclone will be. If such maps as attached do verify (it's still 72hours to the event in Adriatic sea), it could be damaging wind / flash floods power for Italian Puglia region and parts of Dalmatia (Croatia) and Montenegro / Albania. Aside from this, high CAPE due to warm SSTs of Adriatic sea and Taranto gulf, combined with strongly enhanced near-surface wind field /helicity, could support strong tornadoes as well!

More details to follow in the coming 2 days.

Source: Lamma, retemeteo


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Nun schauts sogar nach "Medicaine" aus! 11 Sep 2015 12:12 #170936

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www.bild.de/news/ausland/mallorca/wand-u...l-42467326.bild.html
Dass es Tote und Verletzte gab: :(
Aber manch einen Touri vulgari hat es sicher viel schlimmer geärgert, dass sein Flug Verspätung hatte oder der Strand nicht zu gebrauchen war.

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